NOMISMA
CASE FILES

Sources of numbers and data

The Madoff affair

The Madoff affair / Before the 1980s (start date disputed) to December 2008 / United States (New York) / Fraud and deception

Sources of numbers and data

A list of where the numbers in the figures and text come from in which sources. Click the heading to open.

Read moreNumerical ledger (18 entries)
150 years (1,800 months)yearsPrison term2009-06-29・Denominator: Sum of the statutory maximums for each count. 20 years each for counts 1, 3, 4, 5, 6, 10; 5 years each for counts 2, 8, 9, 11; 10 years for count 7.U.S. District Court, Southern District of New York— Published by the U.S. Attorney's Office SDNY 2009 pp.3–4, 49
Over $13 billion・at least 1,341 accounts (read aloud by defense: 13,226,000,000)dollars・accountsDirect lossesPre-sentencing (June 2009)・Denominator: Direct losses (definition in PSR ¶90, as read within the scope cited by the government document)・Nominal. Does not include losses via feeder funds (Judge)U.S. Attorney's Office, Southern District of New York 2020 p.5 (T pp.34, 43)
Approx. 7 billiondollarsRedemption requests in the second half of 2008Second half of 2008 / NominalU.S. Attorney's Office, Southern District of New York 2020 p.4
100 • 173,000,000dollarsSigned checks2008-12-11 • NominalU.S. Attorney's Office, Southern District of New York 2020 p.4 (T p.41)
Over 250 milliondollarsTransfers to the proprietary trading division2002-2008 / NominalU.S. Attorney's Office, Southern District of New York 2020 p.3
Profits, not principal, according to his own explanationdollars"50 billion dollars"2009-03-27 • Denominator: Fictitious balance • Face value (fictitious)U.S. Attorney's Office, Southern District of New York 2020 p.8 (S text: his own estimate "at least 50 billion")
Approx. 65 billiondollarsTotal amount of fictitious balances (commonly accepted figure: 65 billion)At the time of collapse (2008-12) • Denominator: Account statements • Face value (fictitious) The judge also recorded 65 billion as the figure disputed by the defendant (T p.43)U.S. Attorney's Office, Southern District of New York 2020 p.26 (PSR ¶35, 62)
Approx. 170 billiondollarsInflow into the main accountOver the entire period of the fraud • Nominal. Forfeiture order also for 170 billion dollars (T p.45)U.S. Attorney's Office, Southern District of New York 2020 p.26 (PSR ¶16(o)) • T p.43
20.315 billion (over 19.4 billion in 2020-02)dollarsTrustee's allowed claims amount2026-08-21・Denominator: net equity (amount deposited - amount withdrawn)・NominalIrving H. Picard, SIPA Trustee for the liquidation of BLMIS Top of page (2020 value from M p.26)
15.485 billiondollarsTrustee's recovered amount2026-08-21・Denominator: recoveries and agreements to recover・Nominal. Amount read by defense counsel on sentencing day was 1.225 billion (T p.35)Irving H. Picard, SIPA Trustee for the liquidation of BLMIS Top of page
14.799 billion (17 distributions)dollarsDistributions from the customer fund2026-08-21・Denominator: pro rata distribution against net equity of allowed claims・Nominal. The cumulative total in the SIPC heading (approaching 15.38 billion) includes SIPC advancesIrving H. Picard, SIPA Trustee for the liquidation of BLMIS Top of page
Committed approx. 850.9 million・Unreimbursed 578.5 milliondollarsSIPC advances2026-08-21・Denominator: allowed claims, up to $500,000 per claim・NominalIrving H. Picard, SIPA Trustee for the liquidation of BLMIS Middle of page
Determined 16,521・Allowed 2,659・Denied 2,693・No account 10,734claimsNumber of claims2026-08-21Irving H. Picard, SIPA Trustee for the liquidation of BLMIS Top of page
Statement approx. 2.5 billion vs. DTC less than 18 milliondollarsDTC reconciliation (statement vs. actual balance)2005-01-31・Denominator: S&P 100 stocks・Statement from one feeder fund vs. Madoff's DTC account・Nominal. 2006-05-19 was less than 24 million, 2006-08-10 was less than 28 million (proprietary account portion)U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, Office of Inspector General 2009 pp.39–40
In 139 months, 4months with losses (all under 55bp)Consistency of returns (industry journal)2001-05・Denominator 139 months; quoted from a MARHedge articleU.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, Office of Inspector General 2009 pp.27–28
6 cases (8 if counting versions)・2 articles・3 examinations・2 investigationsComplaints to the SECJune 1992–Dec 2008U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, Office of Inspector General 2009 pp.20–21
Over 17 billiondollarsReported assets under managementEarly 2008・Denominator: Filings with regulators・Nominal. A different number from the balance on statements (65 billion). The explanation for the difference is not in the materials cited hereU.S. Securities and Exchange Commission 2008 Main text
Read moreSources of the numbers in the figures
FigureWhat the figure representsValueDate/PeriodSource and location
Figure 1Chart without numbers———
Figure 2Clients of investment firm Avellino & Bienes file a complaint with the SEC—1992-06U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, Office of Inspector General 2009
Figure 2SEC examiner cross-references Madoff's stock records with a DTC statement, finds a "perfect match"—1992-11-13U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, Office of Inspector General 2009
Figure 2A Boston petitioner submits an 8-page complaint to the SEC—2000-05U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, Office of Inspector General 2009
Figure 2Two trade journals publish articles on the consistent returns and secrecy—2001-05U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, Office of Inspector General 2009
Figure 2The same petitioner's third complaint: "The world's largest hedge fund is a fraud"—2005-10U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, Office of Inspector General 2009
Figure 2Madoff provides a DTC account number in his testimony—2006-05-19U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, Office of Inspector General 2009
Figure 2Madoff registers as an investment adviser—2006-08U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, Office of Inspector General 2009
Figure 2The SEC investigation is formally closed.—2008-01U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, Office of Inspector General 2009
Figure 3Inflow to the main account: approx. $170 billion—Entire period of the fraudU.S. Attorney's Office, Southern District of New York 2020 p.26(PSR ¶16(o))
Figure 3Balance on statements: approx. $65 billion—At the time of collapse (December 2008)U.S. Attorney's Office, Southern District of New York 2020 p.26(PSR ¶35, 62)
Figure 3Identified losses: over $13 billion, at least 1,341 accounts—Before sentencing (June 2009)U.S. Attorney's Office, Southern District of New York 2020 p.5
Figure 3Claims allowed by the trustee: $20.315 billion—As of August 21, 2026Irving H. Picard, SIPA Trustee for the liquidation of BLMIS Top of page
Figure 4Trustee's interim distributions (as a percentage of allowed claims' net equity)4.6%2011-10-04Irving H. Picard, SIPA Trustee for the liquidation of BLMIS Top of the page (list of distributions)
Figure 4Trustee's interim distributions (as a percentage of allowed claims' net equity)33.6%2012-09-20Irving H. Picard, SIPA Trustee for the liquidation of BLMIS Top of the page (list of distributions)
Figure 4Trustee's interim distributions (as a percentage of allowed claims' net equity)4.7%2013-04-01Irving H. Picard, SIPA Trustee for the liquidation of BLMIS Top of the page (list of distributions)
Figure 4Trustee's interim distributions (as a percentage of allowed claims' net equity)3.2%2014-05-05Irving H. Picard, SIPA Trustee for the liquidation of BLMIS Top of the page (list of distributions)
Figure 4Trustee's interim distributions (as a percentage of allowed claims' net equity)2.7%2015-02-06Irving H. Picard, SIPA Trustee for the liquidation of BLMIS Top of the page (list of distributions)
Figure 4Trustee's interim distributions (as a percentage of allowed claims' net equity)8.3%2015-12-04Irving H. Picard, SIPA Trustee for the liquidation of BLMIS Top of the page (list of distributions)
Figure 4Trustee's interim distributions (as a percentage of allowed claims' net equity)1.3%2016-06-30Irving H. Picard, SIPA Trustee for the liquidation of BLMIS Top of the page (list of distributions)
Figure 4Trustee's interim distributions (as a percentage of allowed claims' net equity)1.7%2017-02-02Irving H. Picard, SIPA Trustee for the liquidation of BLMIS Top of the page (list of distributions)
Figure 4Trustee's interim distributions (as a percentage of allowed claims' net equity)3.8%2018-02-22Irving H. Picard, SIPA Trustee for the liquidation of BLMIS Top of the page (list of distributions)
Figure 4Trustee's interim distributions (as a percentage of allowed claims' net equity)2.7%2019-02-22Irving H. Picard, SIPA Trustee for the liquidation of BLMIS Top of the page (list of distributions)
Figure 4Trustee's interim distributions (as a percentage of allowed claims' net equity)2.0%2020-02-28Irving H. Picard, SIPA Trustee for the liquidation of BLMIS Top of the page (list of distributions)
Figure 4Trustee's interim distributions (as a percentage of allowed claims' net equity)1.2%2021-02-26Irving H. Picard, SIPA Trustee for the liquidation of BLMIS Top of the page (list of distributions)
Figure 4Trustee's interim distributions (as a percentage of allowed claims' net equity)0.6%2022-02-25Irving H. Picard, SIPA Trustee for the liquidation of BLMIS Top of the page (list of distributions)
Figure 4Trustee's interim distributions (as a percentage of allowed claims' net equity)0.3%2023-02-24Irving H. Picard, SIPA Trustee for the liquidation of BLMIS Top of the page (list of distributions)
Figure 4Trustee's interim distributions (as a percentage of allowed claims' net equity)0.4%2024-02-23Irving H. Picard, SIPA Trustee for the liquidation of BLMIS Top of the page (list of distributions)
Figure 4Trustee's interim distributions (as a percentage of allowed claims' net equity)0.4%2025-02-28Irving H. Picard, SIPA Trustee for the liquidation of BLMIS Top of the page (list of distributions)
Figure 4Trustee's interim distributions (as a percentage of allowed claims' net equity)1.3%2026-02-27Irving H. Picard, SIPA Trustee for the liquidation of BLMIS Top of the page (list of distributions)
Figure 5Statements show approx. $2.5 billion, DTC records show less than $18 million—January 31, 2005—
Figure 5Trustee recoveries $15.485 billion・Distributions $14.799 billion—August 21, 2026—
Read moreWhat does this tell us?

The historical sources are divided into three groups. First, the criminal records. The transcript of the sentencing proceeding on June 29, 2009 (51 pages) is publicly available from the U.S. Attorney's Office and includes statements from nine victims, statements from the defense attorney and the defendant, and the judge's reasoning and sentence. The government's opposition to the motion for a sentence reduction, dated March 5, 2020 (31 pages), cites the non-public PSR and the March 12, 2009 plea allocution transcript by paragraph and page number; the explanation of the scheme is based on this document. The plea allocution transcript itself and the PSR are read within the scope cited by this document. Second, SEC documents: the announcement of the lawsuit on December 11, 2008, and the Office of the Inspector General's investigation report (OIG-509, 477 pages) of August 31, 2009. The summary and the section on the 1992 investigation were read. Third, liquidation records: the SIPC case page and the trustee's pages on recoveries and claims, with figures as of August 21, 2026.

These sources have biases and limitations. Government documents are written from a position opposing the defendant's release, and his words are selectively quoted by the government. Some figures in the sentencing record (such as the trustee's recovery of $1.225 billion) are from the defense counsel's statement and were not adopted by the judge. The OIG report investigates the SEC's failures and does not address the actual amount of damages. The trustee's pages are a publication of their own achievements and are updated weekly. The start date differs among the defendant, the PSR, the judge, and the forensic accountant, and the losses vary depending on the metric used.

From NOMISMA's perspective, the source criticism of this case comes down to one question: "Does the record match independent sources?" For the statements customers received, the party to verify them with was the issuer himself. When the OIG later checked with the DTC, it found that on January 31, 2005, the same day a feeder fund's statement showed approximately $2.5 billion in S&P 100 stocks, Madoff's DTC account held less than $18 million of the same type of stocks. After the collapse, an SEC lawyer confirmed within a few days, with "a single phone call to the DTC," that no trading had occurred.

How do we know? — Types of sources

Start Date

Metrics for Damage Amount

Government (PSR ¶90)

Over 13 billion in direct losses (not including those via feeder funds)

U.S. Attorney's Office, Southern District of New York 2020
PSR ¶35, 62

Approx. 65 billion balance shown to customers (fictitious)

U.S. Attorney's Office, Southern District of New York 2020
Trustee

20.315 billion in allowed claims (net equity)

Irving H. Picard, SIPA Trustee for the liquidation of BLMIS
Common Narratives

"Total damages of 65 billion"

Read moreBibliography (7 items)

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